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I think DAXXIFY is a keeper!
https://www.instagram.com/reel/C2xfm5Fu0t5/?igsh=MXJ1aWlzMnppamY2OQ==
Activist investor, similar to what happened to Disney recently. You buy into a company, then voice your disagreement of management/trajectory/strategy, and force a board seat vote. If majority of shareholders back you, well, you plant yourself or your person(s) onto the board and have a say in decisions.
>> 3% necessary for representation vote.
Could you explain what's this about?
I wont disclose how many i have but collectively we could probably gather the 3% necessary for representation vote.
Roughly 25k over several accounts and probably another 10k when the 7.5/5/2.5 strikes get PUT to me by October..should bring avg. cost to down to low teens, ouch but still keeping the faith by year end :) …53 years of investing and working on Wall Street has me immune to drops like this!!! We WILL recover, Product superiority over shitty
(initial )management rollout !!!
Own 84k at $4.60 average. Not good, but been here before and prevailed! Hopefully can do the same here!
90k total across several accounts. Deeply underwater (more than 50 percent) but this is nothing unusual for me, been in biotechs since 2013.
I own a bit more and with higher cost. Have been adding here and there. Will add what next couple years bring. Worst case is a zero, blue sky scenario is many folds higher from here.
10K shares average average $7.50, the worst performance in my portfolio. Not adding not selling.
For those willing to share. How many shares do you guys own?
DAXXIFY Treatment… epicentredallas
https://www.instagram.com/reel/C7EietwOdkM/?igsh=MW4wcDY4bWs4YTlyZQ==
DAXXIFY Treatment…
https://www.instagram.com/reel/C7EietwOdkM/?igsh=MW4wcDY4bWs4YTlyZQ==
A toxic toxin company..(tm)
Average 21 ..that's too much pain. Good luck. I am at average cost of mid 5
My capital has been adding too
It’s ugly but couldn’t resist the potential upside
And the drug IS working
Just aggregate the information here. Four bio funds posted new position in RVNC in Q1:
Perceptive Advisors: 600,000 shares
Opaleye Management: 785,000 shares
Tang Capital: 200,000 shares
Stonepine Capital: 1,976,342 shares
Perceptive also holds 5,753,798 shares EOLS, up from 3,963,424 last Q.
Opaleye doesn't own EOLS.
Tang 4,147,399 shares EOLS, up from 3,097,399 last Q.
Stonepine holds 2,674,356 shares EOLS, down from 5,333,004 last Q.
For sure!!
Shorts & MM’s know that Retail holds 20-25% of shares out and that most Brokerage’s will require 100% SM ( Margin Requirement/Special Maintenance: 50% currently @ Schwab)…this will put pressure on traders using leverage ( I personally know this, In Trading account)…fortunately core position in other ‘safe’ accounts :)
Sold some more Puts ( Oct. $2.5 strike) and if excercised, average cost ~$2ish) …sad, but in my opinion this is the only way to DCA down!!! :(
🤔The product is fantastic! Everybody loves the product!
(???)
Money losing companies with significant debt and no clear trajectory to reach breakeven before they run out of cash. There's many of them. The assumption is that these companies will eventually be unable to raise more cash and go bankrupt. Many will. Most of these companies didn't even exist before the ZIRP era and have never had to face an environment like this. Foley has totally mismanaged capital allocation. The shotgun share sale earlier this year after saying they were funded to breakeven only increased investor distrust in management.
Nothing matters, IMO, until we hear some positive
Jim Silverman (Opaleye Prez) was helpful in building position in one of my other Bio's and recently took profits (freed up Approx $6mm) ...hopefully he's redeploying at $3's ( that's where he sold TARA at)...
Nasdaq hasn't posted updated SI( 5/15/24)...will post when avail if it even rally matters!!!
Strange the similarities this stock has to PLUG when you do a 1 year chart comparison. Feels like Revance has been put into a bucket of stocks that some hedgies are just shorting over and over and over and over.
Seems they are one of the subscribers to the recent offering.
Avg cost: $6.42...
0.05% of their holdings.
Hope they will average down.
Thank you wowster. I don’t have the ability now to flush that out..
They bought 600k shares.
Curious, how large is the Perceptive's purchase?
Perceptive's 13F shows a new position in RVNC. This is one of the best biotech funds out there. I guess the value is so low it starts to attract attention.
I guess that was the recent financing so people paying closer attention probably already know this.
Opaleye filing for Q2 shows a new position in RVNC since last quarter. 785,000 shares at 4.92 average cost.
Whew, not even a positive tic up in the price today.
Soma, thank you as that is a very important point…
the ipsen numbers are what ipsen sells their toxin to galderma for. Galderma then marks it up and sells to doctors. guessing at 70% GMs = similar to what Evolus does. So divide ipsen numbes by 0.3 for rough estimate of Galderma sales would be my guess.
Toxin companies sales data
From the last quarter Ipsen released their US aesthetic only data, which could show Galderma's sales data.
Please refer to the below link
https://ml-eu.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/0cc83155-8e44-4812-9f6c-0050d8bf1a9e
this is 100% true. I wish they launched Daxi CD first then Aesthetic...We would be in a much different place with a different set of HCP's doing the test drive.
Where are you getting your Galderma sales data from? Think that is worldwide sales for dysport and fillers? whereas your Botox numbers are USA only.
Speaking of Mouse traps, there may be a ‘roaring Kitty’ out there , haha…believe me this sux being down so much, but I was planning a 2-3yr ramp before substantial sales( just didn’t realize the Launch flop would be so terrible)…continue to $D.C.A$ down here !!!
A superior product vs. management miscues ( they seem to be righting the ship*, just would like C-Ste buy in open market vs. grants) historically wins in the end…
*Encouraged by Foley’s plan of more Digital & Social marketing towards the consumer( Aesthetics) and the official launch towards CD market & J-code coverage…GLTA
If I recall my anti-trust course correctly, there is a "failing company" exception to the anti-monopoly provisions which might allow ABBV to buy RVNC out pretty soon.
😏
Per the # of shares being traded, the buyout or hostile takeover could happen sooner rather than later.
The biggest risk to Revance short to intermediate term is management. They've dug themselves quite a whole, and they need a champion to dig themselves out. They have the best mousetrap, but they don't know how to sell it.
The shorts knew in February:
FWIW (a sliver of ‘good news’ could make things finally swing 🆙)
RVNC / Short Interest
( new #’s on 5/15)
04/30/2024~12,288,926
04/15/2024~11,625,272
03/28/2024~13,551,210
03/15/2024~10,865,757
02/29/2024~11,879,422
On average about 7days to cover …
A you can see Galderma is #1,,,Allergan market share continues to get smaller
Q1 2024
..............................toxin......................filler.....................total
Galderma............$263..35.93%........$248..64.58%......$511....45.78%
Agn ,,,,...,............$389..53.14%........$106..27.60%.....$496.....44.36%
Evolus.................$59..8.06%..........................0.00%......$59........5.29%
Revance..............$21..2.87%..............$30.....7.81%.......$51........4.57%
Total.....................$731.......................$384...................$1,117
RVNC completed their phase 3 files 6 or 7 years ago and no company has had anything even close with phase 2 data. I think it is safe to say no better neurotoxin will make it to market for a long long time.
Competition could come from some other treatment/drug.
FWIW (a sliver of ‘good news’ could make things finally swing 🆙)
RVNC / Short Interest
( new #’s on 5/15)
04/30/2024~12,288,926
04/15/2024~11,625,272
03/28/2024~13,551,210
03/15/2024~10,865,757
02/29/2024~11,879,422
On average about 7days to cover …
How come I wish RVNC had movie theaters! AMC nearly doubled. Foley can’t even get his “you know what” up, let alone the the stock price! He got a raise, when he should be terminated!
30 percent for CD, right? 30 percent overall would be crazy
Despite Foley's follies there's only so long that unscrupulous CosmeticMDs can hide the fact that they're giving their patients inferior products. The biggest risk to Daxxify is that a truly better toxin (not a gimmick like double dose Jeuveau) emerges in the next few years.
If someone could post this report?
TD Cowen just released an analyst report that is very in depth and is much more optimistic of the future going forward. They predict based on speaking to clinicians a 30% market share after three years. I hope they are right. I tried posting the report but didn’t have any luck. It’s worth reading if you get a chance …
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